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-   -   The Trump Presidency 2.0 (https://forums.operationsports.com/fofc//showthread.php?t=99477)

Brian Swartz 02-23-2025 08:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mota
By the end of the 4 years, it will be a 3rd world country.


Quote:

Originally Posted by Flasch186
I still do not believe there’ll be elections for president next time.


This kind of thing is just like how in his first term everybody talked about how he was going to start wars with half the nations in the world. And then when he ended up being an anti-war President, there was just ... crickets. Rarely even an acknowledgement that the prediction was completely wrong. Certainly no embarrassment over the falsehood of it.

It never ceases to amaze me the degree to which, with someone like Trump, we can't just limit ourselves to the incredibly large number of horribly bad things about him. But also feel the need to invent things he hasn't done and assume he'll do those also.

JPhillips 02-23-2025 09:26 AM

But he wasn't anti-war. The bombings and special forces raids were constant. He just kept most of it confidential.

Lathum 02-23-2025 09:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3458278)
This kind of thing is just like how in his first term everybody talked about how he was going to start wars with half the nations in the world. And then when he ended up being an anti-war President, there was just ... crickets. Rarely even an acknowledgement that the prediction was completely wrong. Certainly no embarrassment over the falsehood of it.

It never ceases to amaze me the degree to which, with someone like Trump, we can't just limit ourselves to the incredibly large number of horribly bad things about him. But also feel the need to invent things he hasn't done and assume he'll do those also.


I know you like to be contrarian and act like you are the smartest guy in the room, but if you can't see their goal is to tear it all down then you haven't been paying attention the last 30 days.

Thig is it isn't even Trump. He is their useful idiot and will just keep signing EOs while taking laps around Daytona on the taxpayers dime.

Lathum 02-23-2025 09:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3458279)
But he wasn't anti-war. The bombings and special forces raids were constant. He just kept most of it confidential.


How may anti war presidents openly advocate for ethnic cleansing so they can build ocean front condos?

Atocep 02-23-2025 12:55 PM

And the DoD joins the growing list of departments telling everyone to ignore Elon's email.

Edward64 02-23-2025 05:17 PM

I do think this is wishful thinking but wouldn't be too surprised if it happens. I can see Musk being dismissed, more negative town halls, and opinion polls continue to fall, but it'll have to be more. IMO way too early for Trump and GOP Congress to "implode" two months in.

Remind me on Sun, Mar 23.

Political guru predicts Trump White House will COLLAPSE within 30 days | Daily Mail Online
Quote:

Political guru James Carville forecasted Donald Trump's Administration will collapse within the next 30 days.

The veteran Democratic strategist told Mediaite's Dan Abrams that Trump's popularity is sinking, and he believes the administration will implode from a lack of public support.

'I believe that this administration, in less than 30 days, is in the midst of a massive collapse and particularly a collapse in public opinion,' Carville said.

'What I have said very publicly is that Democrats need to play possum. This whole thing is collapsing.

'It doesn't need Elizabeth Warren and somebody screaming to pacify some progressive advocacy groups in Washington, which, by the way, I wish these people were just useless. They're actually worse than useless, that they're detrimental.'

He advised Democrats to lay low while the White House falls apart and predicted Republicans will find it difficult to pass any legislation and be forced to reach across the aisle for their support.

'It's going to be easy pickings here in six weeks. Just lay back,' Carville said. 'We're in the midst of a collapse. It's over.'

Carville doubled down on his previous statements that Democrats 'do nothing' in response to Trump and Elon Musk's takeover of the federal government.

bob 02-23-2025 05:20 PM

Maybe I’m an idiot, but what does collapsing even mean?

Edward64 02-23-2025 05:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bob (Post 3458291)
Maybe I’m an idiot, but what does collapsing even mean?


Good question. Maybe I should have highlighted below also.

Quote:

'We're in the midst of a collapse. It's over.'

I would interpret that as meaning Trump and GOP Congress will come to a head. The GOP, under pressure from polls, their voters, and/or special interest etc. will effectively pushback on Trump's initiatives.

RainMaker 02-23-2025 06:00 PM

Has Carville been right about anything in politics in 30 years?

Atocep 02-23-2025 06:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3458185)
Congressman allegedly beat his spouse and police tried to cover it up.


US rep. investigated for alleged DC assault; police probe handling – NBC4 Washington


This story got better. The victim is a mistress he has staying with him when he's in DC while his wife and kids are in Florida. She had fresh and older bruises on her and police listened on a call he made to her while she was being interviewed where he told her to lie about the bruises.

GrantDawg 02-23-2025 06:43 PM

"Has Carville been right about anything in politics in 30 years?"

No.

Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk

HerRealName 02-23-2025 07:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3458294)
This story got better. The victim is a mistress he has staying with him when he's in DC while his wife and kids are in Florida. She had fresh and older bruises on her and police listened on a call he made to her while she was being interviewed where he told her to lie about the bruises.


Adding to the crazy story, his wife is an Iraqi refugee and his mistress was a co-founder for Iranians for Trump. That's a lot.

He's also a foreign arms dealer but he won't disclose what countries he sells to. He owns that company with his wife

Brian Swartz 02-23-2025 10:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips
But he wasn't anti-war. The bombings and special forces raids were constant. He just kept most of it confidential.


Compared to the predictions made and to other modern presidents, he absolutely was anti-war.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum
know you like to be contrarian and act like you are the smartest guy in the room, but if you can't see their goal is to tear it all down then you haven't been paying attention the last 30 days.


I'm not doing either of those things. There are people on these forums that I'm quite sure are smarter than me.

I pointed out the history of his first term for a reason. The same type of conjecture was used there, and was hilariously wrong. When these manner of unjustified rhetoric is used and the president isn't Trump, the forum blows up in laughing at the absurdity (often justifiably). But when the shoe's on the other foot, there's an incredible level of blindness that it is happening.

Danny 02-23-2025 10:23 PM

I agree with Brian. I despise Trump, but he has not been a war mongering president at all. Now the long term effects of him damaging relations with so many countries may ultimately lead to more wars but thats a different argument.

Edward64 02-24-2025 06:28 AM

T-19

Still 3 weeks to play out, but budget deadline is coming up again.

My guess is another punt with a short-term continuing resolution, hard to see how GOP can figure it all out in 3 weeks.

Just a moment...
Quote:

A Capitol Hill clash over President Donald Trump’s extraordinary moves to take control of federal spending is upping the chances that lawmakers won’t have a deal to fund the government before a shutdown deadline in just three weeks.
Quote:

But there’s no clear strategy to break the logjam, and House Republican leaders privately acknowledge that contingency plans need to be drawn up in case the impasse continues ahead of the March 14 deadline.

Lathum 02-24-2025 06:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3458301)
Compared to the predictions made and to other modern presidents, he absolutely was anti-war.



I'm not doing either of those things. There are people on these forums that I'm quite sure are smarter than me.

I pointed out the history of his first term for a reason. The same type of conjecture was used there, and was hilariously wrong. When these manner of unjustified rhetoric is used and the president isn't Trump, the forum blows up in laughing at the absurdity (often justifiably). But when the shoe's on the other foot, there's an incredible level of blindness that it is happening.


Comparing his first term to his second is like comparing apples to hand grenades.

The first term he was totally unprepared and didn't think he had any chance of winning. He was basically a disorganized mess of lies and bluster. This term he, and when I say he I really mean the people n his orbit, came in prepared with a plan (that they lied about while campaigning BTW) and executed it with shocking speed and zero pushback from lawmakers. If you can't see the stark difference between the two you aren't paying attention.


Quote:

Originally Posted by Danny (Post 3458302)
I agree with Brian. I despise Trump, but he has not been a war mongering president at all. Now the long term effects of him damaging relations with so many countries may ultimately lead to more wars but thats a different argument.


He is literally calling for an ethnic cleansing in Gaza so he can develop beachfront property there.

Brian Swartz 02-24-2025 08:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum
Comparing his first term to his second is like comparing apples to hand grenades.


Literally not at all what I did.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum
He is literally calling for an ethnic cleansing in Gaza so he can develop beachfront property there.


No? He's called for the people in Gaza to live elsewhere. Not to kill them all. Is that still horrible and indefensible? IMO yes. But it is not what you are making it out to be.

He's also literally trying (badly ofc) to end the war between Russia and Ukraine. You're not even getting the basic facts right on what he is doing right now. Which proves my point.

NobodyHere 02-24-2025 08:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3458310)
No? He's called for the people in Gaza to live elsewhere. Not to kill them all. Is that still horrible and indefensible? IMO yes. But it is not what you are making it out to be.

He's also literally trying (badly ofc) to end the war between Russia and Ukraine. You're not even getting the basic facts right on what he is doing right now. Which proves my point.


Forcing a large group of people to move due to their ethnicity falls under the ethnic cleansing umbrella.

Brian Swartz 02-24-2025 08:30 AM

Not under the way I hear the term used or under any definition I've ever seen, but I'm not going to do a long deep dive on the term.

So let's just stipulate that I'm 'wrong' about the usage here.

JPhillips 02-24-2025 08:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3458301)
Compared to the predictions made and to other modern presidents, he absolutely was anti-war.


He wasn't as aggressive as some people predicted isn't the same as he was personally anti-war.

JPhillips 02-24-2025 08:36 AM

dola

I think the President of Mexico has an interesting strategy regarding Trump's declaration that the cartels are terrorist organizations. If they are, then US arms manufacturers are guilty of arming them.

Lathum 02-24-2025 09:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3458310)
Literally not at all what I did.



.


bro you literally referenced his first term....

Brian Swartz 02-24-2025 09:07 AM

I did. I didn't do what you stated, which is comparing it to his second. I compared his first term to the claims people made about it.

Lathum 02-24-2025 09:27 AM

You literally took comments people made about Trump and this current term and claimed people didn’t same thing in his first term. I fail to see how that isn’t drawing a comparison.

Passacaglia 02-24-2025 09:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3458317)
I did. I didn't do what you stated, which is comparing it to his second. I compared his first term to the claims people made about it.


I think the issue is really in those claims. A lot of people predicted a lot of things about a Trump presidency, but I don't recall starting wars with half the nations of the world being one of them. There was concern that he wanted to use nukes too often (which he didn't), and concern that he was going to be isolationist in a way that would make things worse (which he did). But I don't remember anyone calling him a warmonger.

Lathum 02-24-2025 10:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brian Swartz (Post 3458312)
Not under the way I hear the term used or under any definition I've ever seen, but I'm not going to do a long deep dive on the term.

So let's just stipulate that I'm 'wrong' about the usage here.


If you are arguing what constitutes an ethnic cleansing you have likely crossed the line or gotten way to close to it.

Brian Swartz 02-24-2025 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Passacaglia
A lot of people predicted a lot of things about a Trump presidency, but I don't recall starting wars with half the nations of the world being one of them. There was concern that he wanted to use nukes too often (which he didn't), and concern that he was going to be isolationist in a way that would make things worse (which he did). But I don't remember anyone calling him a warmonger.


It was one of the most commonly-voiced assessments made of him in his first term on this forum.

JPhillips 02-24-2025 12:02 PM

I mean he did repeatedly say he was going to nuke N. Korea and Iran. People saying that were only reacting to his language.

RainMaker 02-24-2025 12:45 PM

No candidate from any major party is anti-war. That will likely never change as long as the defense industry and foreign countries own so many politicians. Brian is partially right that Trump was the anti-war candidate this cycle. But others are partially right that Trump isn't anti-war.

Trump got to be the anti-war candidate because the previous administration were much bigger warmongerers. It's the same for Obama who ran partially as anti-war but wasn't. He was able to run that way because Bush and McCain were much bigger warmongerers.

BishopMVP 02-24-2025 02:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3458307)
He is literally calling for an ethnic cleansing in Gaza so he can develop beachfront property there.

I'm reticent to get into this topic because everyone who does gets called a baby killer by one person and a nazi by others here at the same time, but strictly on whether Trump is a "warmongering President" I think boots on the ground are the only metric I think matters. I don't like defending him at all and his rhetoric is pretty terrible everywhere, but unless he actually does send the US military to Gaza his actions have been much more isolationist than neocon/warmongering IMO.

Atocep 02-24-2025 02:21 PM

We're apparently headed toward an eventual sale of Fox News. Rupert Murdoch tried somewhat recently to cut his 3 liberal kids out of the will and give everything to Lachlan, the one kid that shares his views. That was shot down by a judge. So now the 4 are set to inherit Fox on Rupert's death and the belief is that Lachlan will be forced out and the assets split up and sold.

Lathum 02-24-2025 03:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RainMaker (Post 3458330)
No candidate from any major party is anti-war. That will likely never change as long as the defense industry and foreign countries own so many politicians. Brian is partially right that Trump was the anti-war candidate this cycle. But others are partially right that Trump isn't anti-war.

Trump got to be the anti-war candidate because the previous administration were much bigger warmongerers. It's the same for Obama who ran partially as anti-war but wasn't. He was able to run that way because Bush and McCain were much bigger warmongerers.


Quote:

Originally Posted by Lathum (Post 3458325)
If you are arguing what constitutes an ethnic cleansing you have likely crossed the line or gotten way to close to it.

like I said earlier.

bronconick 02-24-2025 03:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3458338)
We're apparently headed toward an eventual sale of Fox News. Rupert Murdoch tried somewhat recently to cut his 3 liberal kids out of the will and give everything to Lachlan, the one kid that shares his views. That was shot down by a judge. So now the 4 are set to inherit Fox on Rupert's death and the belief is that Lachlan will be forced out and the assets split up and sold.


So Elon is going to buy it.

Danny 02-24-2025 03:30 PM

Those siblings could save the country by keeping it and just gradually tilting it more moderate

RainMaker 02-24-2025 04:03 PM

A new document undercuts Trump admin’s denials about Tesla deal : NPR

RainMaker 02-24-2025 05:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3458294)
This story got better. The victim is a mistress he has staying with him when he's in DC while his wife and kids are in Florida. She had fresh and older bruises on her and police listened on a call he made to her while she was being interviewed where he told her to lie about the bruises.


Feds refusing to indict. Another reason for DC statehood.

US rep. investigated for alleged DC assault; police probe handling – NBC4 Washington

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3458311)
Forcing a large group of people to move due to their ethnicity falls under the ethnic cleansing umbrella.


What if you call them "humanitarian corridors"?

JPhillips 02-24-2025 06:09 PM

For my friends, everything, for my enemies, the law.

Carman Bulldog 02-24-2025 07:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danny (Post 3458341)
Those siblings could save the country by keeping it and just gradually tilting it more moderate


But do Shiv and Kendall really want to do that? I mean, Kendall wanted the company at one point, but they would still have to put up with Roman.

Lathum 02-24-2025 07:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danny (Post 3458341)
Those siblings could save the country by keeping it and just gradually tilting it more moderate


People will just go somewhere else to get their fix and a newer, likely even more extreme, alternative would pop up.

These people are far too gone to ever come back. The damage has already been done

Danny 02-24-2025 08:05 PM

Humans are creatures of habit, most will still tune in, especially if things change gradually.

Atocep 02-24-2025 10:58 PM

The problem is James is the only one of the 3 that has any interest in politics or media. The other 2 children are non-political and have no interest in following in their dads footsteps.

If Elon purchased he would likely run it into the ground fairly quickly. He has no idea what he's doing and any part of his companies that he turns his attention to does worse.

Edward64 02-25-2025 06:37 AM

The tariff war looks one step closer. I can easily believe it'll happen with Mexico but don't see how Trump can justify the 10% on that sweet, sweet Canadian oil.

I'm rooting for Canada to hold firm (but not sure if she can) as I'd think the bad press from self-inflicted, increased oil prices will pressure Trump to cut it short (and declare victory).

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/24/trum...o-forward.html
Quote:

President Donald Trump said Monday that sweeping U.S. tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico “will go forward” when a monthlong delay on their implementation expires next week.

“The tariffs are going forward on time, on schedule,” Trump said when asked at a White House press conference if the postponed tariffs on the two U.S. trading partners would soon go back into effect.

The president claimed that the U.S. has “been taken advantage of” by foreign nations on “just about everything,” and reiterated his plan to impose so-called reciprocal tariffs.

Lathum 02-25-2025 06:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danny (Post 3458351)
Humans are creatures of habit, most will still tune in, especially if things change gradually.


Exactly. And they need their habit of hatred, fear, and xenophobia fed and if FOX goes woke, like they did when they called Arizona, people will leave and go somewhere else they can get their fix.

JPhillips 02-25-2025 08:03 AM

Quote:

A group of prominent military contractors, including former Blackwater CEO Erik Prince, has pitched the Trump White House on a proposal to carry out mass deportations through a network of “processing camps” on military bases and a “small army” of private citizens empowered to make arrests.

Perhaps they can wear brown shirts.

Fidatelo 02-25-2025 08:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3458371)
The tariff war looks one step closer. I can easily believe it'll happen with Mexico but don't see how Trump can justify the 10% on that sweet, sweet Canadian oil.

I'm rooting for Canada to hold firm (but not sure if she can) as I'd think the bad press from self-inflicted, increased oil prices will pressure Trump to cut it short (and declare victory).

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/24/trum...o-forward.html



Trump brought up the Keystone XL pipeline yesterday, indicating he wants it built. That's a pretty clear 'bargaining chip' that Canada _could_ use to get another 30 days or whatever of relief from the tariffs. But it's also a massive wedge issue politically which will help to sew division amongst Canadians, so a win-win for Trump regardless.


Ultimately we all see where this is going. A never-ending series of demands until the ask is finally too high. All the while the looming threat of the tariffs weakens our economy. The goal here is not to win some minor trade concessions, enhance border security, get a new pipeline, or rectify whatever other petty injustice Trump invents next week. The goal is literal annexation of Canada, not as a "51st state" but as a vassal or territory from which he can plunder our resources and ignore (or perhaps effectively enslave) our people.


I'm not sure what I think the best course of action is. It's easy to say that we need to just rip the band-aid off, accept the tariffs and start moving forward to separate our economy from the US. This also has the benefit of Americans actually feeling the price impacts and placing some pressure to stop this madness from within. But I can also see value in trying to delay the inevitable, buying time to adjust our trade relationships and economy, while also hoping that something external to this situation forces Trump to turn away from this attack. I don't think it's likely, but a lot is in flux right now both within the US and abroad so who knows.

Edward64 02-25-2025 08:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fidatelo (Post 3458387)
I'm not sure what I think the best course of action is. It's easy to say that we need to just rip the band-aid off, accept the tariffs and start moving forward to separate our economy from the US.

Not sure best approach either.

I think I would play defense and work towards de-coupling for the next 2 years and see what happens to Congress then. If the Dems can win back at least the House or Senate, we'll have a lot more sanity. Unfortunately, considering how discombobulated the Dems seem right now ... who the frak knows.

Edward64 02-25-2025 08:46 AM

@Fidatelo and the other FOFC Canucks,

If you are ever in the Atlanta area, let us know. I'm sure a group of us here will buy you some nice southern cooking. No politics discussed; we'll stick to hockey & curling.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/winds...iner-1.7467020
Quote:

Diners in a Windsor, Ont., restaurant were stunned and elated over the weekend when an American couple picked up the bill for the packed establishment — citing U.S. President Donald Trump's divisive rhetoric and their love of Canada.

May Hermiz is the co-owner of Toast on Erie Street. She says the day took an unexpected turn during their lunch rush when the couple from Ann Arbour, Mich., told her they wanted to pay for everyone in the restaurant.
Quote:

"We were all kind of shocked because that doesn't happen, because there's about 50 to 60 people in there," Ganley-Mutter said, adding that there was "a full-on cheer and clapping."

Mota 02-25-2025 11:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fidatelo (Post 3458387)
The goal is literal annexation of Canada, not as a "51st state" but as a vassal or territory from which he can plunder our resources and ignore (or perhaps effectively enslave) our people.


Yes, they want to make us suffer economically so much that we come begging to be taken over. But one member of congress even said this on an interview, they don't want us to have votes, they want us to be a territory that is conquered. This is basically Russia invading the Ukraine. I can't believe that so many people are okay with this.

BishopMVP 02-25-2025 02:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3458338)
We're apparently headed toward an eventual sale of Fox News. Rupert Murdoch tried somewhat recently to cut his 3 liberal kids out of the will and give everything to Lachlan, the one kid that shares his views. That was shot down by a judge. So now the 4 are set to inherit Fox on Rupert's death and the belief is that Lachlan will be forced out and the assets split up and sold.

Clearly I don't know much about Trusts and I am a fan of the result here but I do find it interesting a guy who is alive can't amend what is effectively his will, even a very powerful billionaire one. Rupert Murdoch's family feud over future of News Corp and Fox plays out in Nevada court - ABC News

JonInMiddleGA 02-25-2025 02:51 PM

Well at least the article clears up how this strange situation got in such a mess.

Irrevocable trust was a mistake from the jump.

HerRealName 02-25-2025 02:58 PM

Focusing on tax avoidance leads to irrational decisions. I see this happen A LOT professionally.

JonInMiddleGA 02-25-2025 03:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HerRealName (Post 3458415)
Focusing on tax avoidance leads to irrational decisions. I see this happen A LOT professionally.


Is that what making it irrevocable impacts? (I haven't a clue, that's just what I'm inferring from your comment)

CrimsonFox 02-25-2025 03:34 PM

20+ Doge kids just resigned.

ALso cheeto has a large dark spot on his hand. probably a lesion. Guess he got aids from sticking his dick in putin too many times maybe.

Atocep 02-25-2025 03:54 PM

A friend of mine works at MESC. This is the guy Trump has appointed to oversee our manufacturing and supply chains.

https://www.linkedin.com/in/geoffrey-jervis/

PilotMan 02-25-2025 03:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3458420)
A friend of mine works at MESC. This is the guy Trump has appointed to oversee our manufacturing and supply chains.

https://www.linkedin.com/in/geoffrey-jervis/


How can you argue with a fresh approach to washing cars?

Lathum 02-25-2025 04:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CrimsonFox (Post 3458419)
20+ Doge kids just resigned.

ALso cheeto has a large dark spot on his hand. probably a lesion. Guess he got aids from sticking his dick in putin too many times maybe.


Unless it is a different group they were actually members of a department started by the Obama admin and weren't Musk bros.

Atocep 02-25-2025 04:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PilotMan (Post 3458421)
How can you argue with a fresh approach to washing cars?


Hopefully we upgrade to the premium supply chains.

HerRealName 02-25-2025 04:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JonInMiddleGA (Post 3458418)
Is that what making it irrevocable impacts? (I haven't a clue, that's just what I'm inferring from your comment)


It sets up a new legal entity so it shifts income and asset ownership entirely to the trust. There is a lot of flexibility possible with creating a trust so Trustees and Beneficiaries are highly customizable. Irrevocable Trusts are high risk though, once they're set, they're locked. I've seen some crazy situations but mostly around agriculture/land.

JPhillips 02-25-2025 05:49 PM

What the fuck is this nonsense?

Quote:

Reporter: Who is the DOGE administrator?

Leavitt: I'm not going to reveal the name of that individual from this podium.

JonInMiddleGA 02-25-2025 06:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HerRealName (Post 3458426)
It sets up a new legal entity so it shifts income and asset ownership entirely to the trust. There is a lot of flexibility possible with creating a trust so Trustees and Beneficiaries are highly customizable. Irrevocable Trusts are high risk though, once they're set, they're locked. I've seen some crazy situations but mostly around agriculture/land.


Thanks. Far outside of my wheelhouse

JPhillips 02-25-2025 07:42 PM

Massie says this budget that just passed the first hurdle will add 20 trillion to the debt over the next ten years.

Atocep 02-25-2025 07:51 PM

The Trump and Bush tax cuts responsible for something like 1/3 of the current debt and our debt to percentage of economy would be decreasing if they had never happened.

GrantDawg 02-25-2025 07:55 PM

Republicans want more babies, yet are slashing Medicare that covers 40% of all pregnancies.

Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk

Edward64 02-25-2025 08:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3458440)
Republicans want more babies, yet are slashing Medicare that covers 40% of all pregnancies.

Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk


That does sound like real fraud. People on Medicare ain't going to have anymore babies :)

(... now Medicaid is another story)

GrantDawg 02-25-2025 08:39 PM

Where is that middle finger emoji.....

Sent from my SM-S916U using Tapatalk

Ghost Econ 02-26-2025 01:41 AM

Don't worry, we're selling gold card American citizenship for $5 mil a pop, that will make up for any shortfall.

GrantDawg 02-26-2025 07:30 AM

I was watching Rep. Massey, the only Republican to vote no on the budget, explain why he is a "no." I don't agree with his politics at all but it is good to see someone at least tell the real story from the side of the isle. He points out the increased deficits for the first five years, and it only claims to stop the increase if there is both 2.5% growth every year in receipts as well as discretionary spending is frozen. He said he has seen that promised in every budget, and it has never happened. It is like an NFL contract, anything beyond three years is complete fiction. Taking away services while rapidly increasing the national debt is just insane.

Lathum 02-26-2025 08:52 AM

I saw where economists said the budget proposal will add 23 trillion to the debt over the next ten years.

Lathum 02-26-2025 08:52 AM

wsj.com

Atocep 02-26-2025 10:39 AM

Got an email today seeking Spanish linguists at guantanamo because there's a critical shortage. You get to live in tents for at least 6 months and you get the same pay.

Ksyrup 02-26-2025 10:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3458470)
Got an email today seeking Spanish linguists at guantanamo because there's a critical shortage. You get to live in tents for at least 6 months and you get the same pay.


And a 50/50 chance you get RIF'd by Elon within the first 2 weeks.

Atocep 02-26-2025 11:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ghost Econ (Post 3458457)
Don't worry, we're selling gold card American citizenship for $5 mil a pop, that will make up for any shortfall.


I thought you were joking. This is a fucking real thing. We're so worried about illegal immigrants that we'll just sell a path to citizenship for 5 mil.

Atocep 02-26-2025 11:05 AM

Bezos completes the right wing turn of WaPp by pushing out the editor and announcing the opinion section will now focus on personal liberties and free markets.

RainMaker 02-26-2025 11:10 AM

Isn't that just expanding the EB-5 program? It's mostly just to encourage more China investment in the country.

HerRealName 02-26-2025 11:11 AM

We've cut back on our Amazon usage massively the last several months. So much so that we won't renew Prime when it comes back up.

Edward64 02-26-2025 11:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3458472)
I thought you were joking. This is a fucking real thing. We're so worried about illegal immigrants that we'll just sell a path to citizenship for 5 mil.


Honestly, it's not a big deal. There's already a path to US permanent residency (and then citizenship) if you are willing to invest $800K or so. Trump has increased the $. Some of the conditions may change but this path to "buying permanent residency" was already there.

Also, plenty of EU (and some Asian) countries provide similar, search on "Golden Visa". Invest in a business, invest in real estate, donate money to some sort of fund etc. Different details but "buying permanent residency" is not unusual.

Passacaglia 02-26-2025 11:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3458472)
I thought you were joking. This is a fucking real thing. We're so worried about illegal immigrants that we'll just sell a path to citizenship for 5 mil.


Has it ever been anything other than hatred of poor people?

Atocep 02-26-2025 11:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3458477)
Honestly, it's not a big deal. There's already a path to US permanent residency (and then citizenship) if you are willing to invest $800K or so. Trump has increased the $. Some of the conditions may change but this path to "buying permanent residency" was already there.

Also, plenty of EU (and some Asian) countries provide similar, search on "Golden Visa". Invest in a business, invest in real estate, donate money to some sort of fund etc. Different details but "buying permanent residency" is not unusual.


Using the EU as justification is weak considering the right mocks the EU for things like healthcare, their tax laws, and general liberal lean. You don't get to pick and choose justification like that.

Speaking of healthcare, most of these countries have free healthcare systems and other benefits that you're effectively buying into since you would enjoy the benefits without paying a lifetime of taxes. There's logic to it.

Edward64 02-26-2025 11:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atocep (Post 3458481)
Using the EU as justification is weak considering the right mocks the EU for things like healthcare, their tax laws, and general liberal lean. You don't get to pick and choose justification like that.


I'm not trying to justify anything, I'm just saying its "normal" for many countries.

Okay, don't like the EU example ...

Golden Visa Countries and Programs | Henley & Partners
Quote:

  1. Australia National Innovation Visa Program
  2. Austria Private Residence Program
  3. Canada Start-Up Visa Program
  4. Canada Quebec Investor Immigration Program
  5. Costa Rica Residence by Investment Program
  6. Cyprus Permanent Residence Program
  7. Greece Golden Visa Program
  8. Hong Kong Visa Programs
  9. Hungary Guest Investor Program
  10. Italy Residence by Investment Program
  11. Jersey Residence by Investment
  12. Latvia Residence by Investment Program
  13. Luxembourg Residence by Investment Program
  14. Malaysia My Second Home Program
  15. Malaysia Premium Visa Program
  16. Malta Permanent Residence Programme
  17. Mauritius Residence by Investment Program
  18. Monaco Residence
  19. Montenegro Residence
  20. Namibia Residence by Investment
  21. New Zealand Active Investor Plus Visa Program
  22. Panama Residence by Investment Program
  23. Portugal Golden Residence Permit Program
  24. Singapore Global Investor Program
  25. Spain Residence by Investment Program
  26. Swiss Residence Program
  27. Thailand Residence by Investment Program
  28. UAE Residence by Investment
  29. UK Innovator Founder Program
  30. US EB-5 Immigrant Investor Program


Don't know why but above list is not complete. Toss in some Caribbean islands (more Asian countries including Japan)

Quote:

The Caribbean countries with golden visa programs are Dominica, Grenada, St. Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, and Saint Lucia.

And if you really don't like it, then blame whoever was in charge back in 1990 and all the Administrations that allowed it to continue.

Quote:

The EB-5 visa program was created in 1990 by the Immigration Act of 1990. The program allows foreign investors to become permanent residents of the United States by investing in U.S. businesses.

Atocep 02-26-2025 11:42 AM

Elon posted confusion on Twitter as to why planes don't just always fly a straight A to B path. This man is making decisions for the FAA.

Ksyrup 02-26-2025 12:01 PM

Yeah, having just cruised to the ABC islands, I read up on the ways to become citizens of many of these islands that include an "investment" option. It's not that unusual.

Swaggs 02-26-2025 12:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3458441)
That does sound like real fraud. People on Medicare ain't going to have anymore babies :)

(... now Medicaid is another story)


People that qualify for Social Security Disability Insurance automatically receive Medicare and can, in fact, be of childbearing age. So, looking to take away an earned benefit (those that receive SSDI have to have worked enough to qualify) and further marginalize an already vulnerable population.

Edward64 02-26-2025 12:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swaggs (Post 3458487)
People that qualify for Social Security Disability Insurance automatically receive Medicare and can, in fact, be of childbearing age. So, looking to take away an earned benefit (those that receive SSDI have to have worked enough to qualify) and further marginalize an already vulnerable population.


Thanks, did not know.

BYU 14 02-26-2025 12:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swaggs (Post 3458487)
People that qualify for Social Security Disability Insurance automatically receive Medicare and can, in fact, be of childbearing age. So, looking to take away an earned benefit (those that receive SSDI have to have worked enough to qualify) and further marginalize an already vulnerable population.


This, you can have people on Medicare in their 20's if meeting this requirement, so definitely possible as they also qualify for Medicaid secondary, at least in AZ. Just another prime example of someone looking at something, who has no clue what they they are looking at.

Edward64 02-26-2025 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3458486)
Yeah, having just cruised to the ABC islands, I read up on the ways to become citizens of many of these islands that include an "investment" option. It's not that unusual.


Unfortunately, I do not have approx $250K to "invest". But if I did, which island did you like the best?

Ksyrup 02-26-2025 01:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3458490)
Unfortunately, I do not have approx $250K to "invest". But if I did, which island did you like the best?


I'd have to spend more than 8-10 hours in each before I made that decision. As I recall, there are multiple types of investments depending on the country. Some were straight up cash, some were economic investments (starting a company and putting up $X of capital), and some were real estate purchase investments.

There's a website for Citizens International that has a full application process for "Caribbean Citizenship by Investment" programs.

JPhillips 02-26-2025 02:13 PM

Trump literally thinks he's going to pay off the national debt with this idea.

Danny 02-26-2025 03:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ksyrup (Post 3458492)
I'd have to spend more than 8-10 hours in each before I made that decision.



Poor excuse, Musk is deciding billion dollars in federal cuts affecting thousands to millions of people in less time. Get on it!

Swaggs 02-26-2025 03:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3458497)
Trump literally thinks he's going to pay off the national debt with this idea.


It's funny (not funny) you say that. For about 20-years, I have noticed that a lot of Republicans don't seem to understand the difference between the federal deficit and the national debt and I would almost bet my car that more than 10% of current congress members do not understand the difference.

GrantDawg 02-26-2025 03:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BYU 14 (Post 3458489)
This, you can have people on Medicare in their 20's if meeting this requirement, so definitely possible as they also qualify for Medicaid secondary, at least in AZ. Just another prime example of someone looking at something, who has no clue what they they are looking at.

But I did just misspeak. It is 40% of all births are on Medicaid. I mean, I know I'm the first to ever do that since those two sound nothing alike /sarcasm

RainMaker 02-26-2025 03:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3458497)
Trump literally thinks he's going to pay off the national debt with this idea.


They have nefarious motives (tax cuts for the rich) but they're also remarkably dumb people. No concept of how big the debt or where the money comes is going (defense primarily). The fact that someone convinced him that McKinley was smart and tariffs work should tell you all you need to know.

GrantDawg 02-26-2025 03:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Edward64 (Post 3458490)
Unfortunately, I do not have approx $250K to "invest". But if I did, which island did you like the best?

I bet you do. Remember, the cost of living is way lower than the US. I was watching some Youtube's of people that are living well just on their SS payments in Costa Rica (I believe it was). Between your house and retirement investments, I bet you could come up with $250k pretty easily. It is just a matter of what you have left to live on.
Heck, from what I have seen there are plenty of countries that you only have to prove you have a steady income, and a pretty low one at that. Youtube have lists of places from islands, Central American countries, to Eastern European countries that just require a small pension to move their.

JPhillips 02-26-2025 03:28 PM

Why would most rich people even do this? If you have that much money you can come to the US any time you want and stay for as long as you want. America is attractive for immigrants who believe it offers a better opportunity, but if you're already successful, what do you get?

RainMaker 02-26-2025 03:58 PM

American citizenship has a lot of value, especially if you're rich. This is mostly being done for wealthy Chinese and Saudi people who don't want to be hassled about their investments or political donations in this country.

Remember that Elon really really needs China to be happy for his businesses to survive. That's why they've been getting gift after gift from this administration.

NobodyHere 02-26-2025 04:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3455448)
Eggs are $4.19 today.

Thanks Trump


Eggs were $5.49 but had an online coupon from Krogers for a free dozen.

Am I suppose to blame or thank Trump here?

RainMaker 02-26-2025 04:11 PM

That's cheap. I just paid $7.99 here for the cheapest. For a little while, it was actually cheaper to buy the cage free eggs but they've gone up a lot too.

Edward64 02-26-2025 04:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JPhillips (Post 3458507)
Why would most rich people even do this? If you have that much money you can come to the US any time you want and stay for as long as you want. America is attractive for immigrants who believe it offers a better opportunity, but if you're already successful, what do you get?


It's to hedge (with dual citizenship or permanent residency) from political stability like China & Russia.

I'd think it's also to hedge for the future of their immediate family and future generations if their country is threatened like Hong Kong, Taiwan etc.

And for many, I'd think also for tax purposes.

Edward64 02-26-2025 04:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NobodyHere (Post 3458510)
Eggs were $5.49 but had an online coupon from Krogers for a free dozen.

Am I suppose to blame or thank Trump here?


Thank Turkiye

reuters.com
Quote:

Turkey has begun exporting around 15,000 tonnes of eggs to the United States as a devastating outbreak of bird flu is slashing U.S. production and sending prices soaring, a leading sector official said on Wednesday.
Deaths of millions of laying hens imperil U.S. President Donald Trump's pledge to bring down everyday costs, as grocery stores ration supplies and restaurants raise prices for egg dishes.

Passacaglia 02-26-2025 04:22 PM

Makes sense. Turkey eggs probably taste just like chicken eggs anyway

Edward64 02-26-2025 04:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GrantDawg (Post 3458505)
I bet you do. Remember, the cost of living is way lower than the US. I was watching some Youtube's of people that are living well just on their SS payments in Costa Rica (I believe it was). Between your house and retirement investments, I bet you could come up with $250k pretty easily. It is just a matter of what you have left to live on.

Probably could come up with it but my disposable income/buffer would be less than I'd want. Also, I'd never want to move FT overseas, I'd want to maintain some sort of residence in the US and split a year. But yes, when I collect SS, that should help with quite a bit.

Quote:

Heck, from what I have seen there are plenty of countries that you only have to prove you have a steady income, and a pretty low one at that. Youtube have lists of places from islands, Central American countries, to Eastern European countries that just require a small pension to move their.
This is true. Also toss in Asian countries. Steady income doesn't just mean work income, could also mean pension/SS income.

Separate from the Golden Visa to get permanent residency, many countries have "retirement visas" that will grant you much less hassle going back-and-forth; allows you the privilege to stay 5-10-15 years and also renew; etc. Just can't work.


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