This could be bad

They have posted a track south of Florida. Right back in tot he gulf.

This is a real scary thought.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT11/refresh/AL112017_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/035421_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

Most forecasts still have it getting pushed north right before it gets there. Right now, it's anybody's guess.

I'm flying to Tampa next Sunday, so that's my guess as to where it is heading.

Here on the eastern Florida coast I'm watching a tad nervously ... we got off light last year and I'm concerned some people are cocky that the same will occur this year.

I talked to my Dad today. He thinks it will swing up the west coast and cut across Florida into Georgia.

Yes, Cartman, that would impact you.

https://www.wxrisk.com/sunday-sept-3-update-on-irma-and-the-risk-to-se-usa/

we should probably check to see what other coastal towns have lesbian mayors.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">I don't believe Hurricane Harvey is God's punishment for Houston electing a lesbian mayor. But that is more credible than &quot;climate change.&quot; <a href="https://t.co/K7d7mopY5Q">https://t.co/K7d7mopY5Q</a></p>&mdash; Ann Coulter (@AnnCoulter) <a href="https://twitter.com/AnnCoulter/status/902373016818126849">August 29, 2017</a></blockquote>

Irma now a Category 5 with 175 mph winds. Path looking more and more like its going to come right up the middle of Florida. ::shiver::

Guess we have to figure out where we are evac'ing to. :(

Ugh. Not looking good.

Ann Coulter will say anything to get some attention.

I think Irma saw the Harvey thread and just wants attention until she beqts it. Then she will calm down.

God help the people living on those islands.

wait cat 5????

uuuugh

Any chance it will just hit Mar-a-lago and bounce out to sea?

Historically strong storm. Prayers for those in the path of it.

Absolutely amazing scenes at the local stores. I never thought I would hear people discussing the water delivery schedules of all of the major stores to the minute.

Any chance it will just hit Mar-a-lago and bounce out to sea?

I can't speak for Mar-a-lago but last I heard there was still a chance of it missing the US and heading back out. Places like Puerto Rico? They're pretty much screwed.

How did you quote EaglesFan as me?

Also, don't we technically own Puerto Rico? In other words, are we on the hook for disaster relief? If so, the border wall takes another hit.

Puerto Ricans are American citizens.

I have a sister in Ft. Lauderdale and my Dad is in Ocala. Looks like both will be affected.

Britons evacuated as Hurricane Irma hits - BBC News (http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-41172755)

Gee classic rich guy reaction to mother nature.

Bucs and Dolphins either to be rescheduled for their bye week or to be held in Pittsburgh/Philly this weekend.

Powerful enough that it's registering on seismometers.

Hurricane Irma has become so strong it's showing up on seismometers used to measure earthquakes | The Independent (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/irma-hurricane-strength-category-earthquake-measurement-seismometer-a7931286.html)

Looks like the models are creeping eastward a bit.

11 am advisory:

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-united-states-hurricane-warning-puerto-rico-leeward-islands-0

There's already a Tropical Storm Jose behind it :(

There's already a Tropical Storm Jose behind it :(

yeah last I saw though on Jose was that it was going to head north and fizzle. Don't know if that's changed recently though

Bah. Trump isn't gonna let Jose into the U.S. No worries about that one.

As for Irma, per the latest forecast, we're starting to get inquiries from our previous town of residence regarding our spare bedrooms. Look out, Lowcountry. :(

Bah. Trump isn't gonna let Jose into the U.S. No worries about that one.

As for Irma, per the latest forecast, we're starting to get inquiries from our previous town of residence regarding our spare bedrooms. Look out, Lowcountry. :(

We've put out the call to Mrs. A's Charleston family. That seems to be where they spaghetti models are trending it.

Bah. Trump isn't gonna let Jose into the U.S. No worries about that one.

As for Irma, per the latest forecast, we're starting to get inquiries from our previous town of residence regarding our spare bedrooms. Look out, Lowcountry. :(

And b/c Irma's gonna make it rain up here, you aren't even likely to be able to grill for them :(

And b/c Irma's gonna make it rain up here, you aren't even likely to be able to grill for them :(N***a please!

https://www.dropbox.com/s/gdq2wa2dvfxuv61/11169790_10204621219946793_1598740840579734534_o%20%281%29.jpg?dl=1

Respect

Bah. Trump isn't gonna let Jose into the U.S. No worries about that one.

As for Irma, per the latest forecast, we're starting to get inquiries from our previous town of residence regarding our spare bedrooms. Look out, Lowcountry. :(

So so bad Ben, but so so good :) Still a bit up in the air here whether we are evacuating. Thankfully my brother and his wife are part of a travel club, so they are looking for a good deal for us. Can't really seeing us staying in a shelter with our health issues, so just hoping we go somewhere where they don't lose power :) Have to decide what to do with our cat as well

I'm flying to Tampa next Sunday, so that's my guess as to where it is heading.
I'm guessing that flight's not going to happen.

How did you quote EaglesFan as me?

Your names both start with E?? Sorry about that, I do stupid things sometimes. Ok more than sometimes. Seems that it's mostly decided to smack head on into South Florida now though, unfortunately.

I'm guessing that flight's not going to happen.

Nope. I'm now flying in Saturday early afternoon. :D

Email from Sister today said all roads out of South Florida are North only now. And tolls have been suspended.
My Sister said she has gas, propane, and water. If the threat is too great they will head to my Dads in Ocala.
Sis said their are line s everywhere. Police are at gas stations and such. Schools are out starting tomorrow.

Hey, that graphic I posted in the first message has changed. On its own.
Is that normal?

Hey, that graphic I posted in the first message has changed. On its own.
Is that normal?You didn't post the correct version. I edited it to add the one that auto-updates from the NHC page.

You didn't post the correct version. I edited it to add the one that auto-updates from the NHC page.

Okay. Thanks. I was thinking the ghosts were messing with me again.

Email from Sister today said all roads out of South Florida are North only now. And tolls have been suspended.
My Sister said she has gas, propane, and water. If the threat is too great they will head to my Dads in Ocala.
Sis said their are line s everywhere. Police are at gas stations and such. Schools are out starting tomorrow.

This scenario is not limited to South Florida. Hillsborough County (Tampa) Schools are closed tomorrow and Friday in order to prepare the schools to accommodate evacuees if needed. I think 90% of the gas stations that I have driven by today are out of gas with lines at the remaining 10%. I experienced Andrew and the shortages that I saw here today are equal to the shortages that I saw back then AFTER the storm. I am hoping that means everyone has taken this one very seriously.

I'm flying to Lauderdale tomorrow for an overnight. I wonder if it'll be any different with the preparations going on?

This scenario is not limited to South Florida. Hillsborough County (Tampa) Schools are closed tomorrow and Friday in order to prepare the schools to accommodate evacuees if needed. I think 90% of the gas stations that I have driven by today are out of gas with lines at the remaining 10%. I experienced Andrew and the shortages that I saw here today are equal to the shortages that I saw back then AFTER the storm. I am hoping that means everyone has taken this one very seriously.

I'm sure the Texas refinery closures don't help things.

My friend is getting married in Myrtle Beach next Friday - what are the odds that this is going to be a problem?

My friend is getting married in Myrtle Beach next Friday - what are the odds that this is going to be a problem?

That would depend on the path of the storm and how high the winds are when it gets here. If a direct hit and high winds/water, likely will be no power and flooding. If a glancing blow, chances are better for the wedding.

(I think its an omen for the future of the marriage :D )

Okay. Thanks. I was thinking the ghosts were messing with me again.

Never think that they aren't.

My friend is getting married in Myrtle Beach next Friday - what are the odds that this is going to be a problem?

Any person getting married in Myrtle Beach should not be your friend.

I saw the news and they showed all 3 hurricanes. It was a scary sight.

Any person getting married in Myrtle Beach should not be your friend.:+1:

Well, no hurricane adventure for me. Trip got postponed one week.

:+1:

:+1:

Well, my layover hotel just got changed, and boy did I get downgraded. Booooooooo.

:+1:


:+1:

8 am update

Things looking better here in MB. Could be down to a Cat 1 storm, with winds less than 100 mph, which is something we've stayed for in the past. Need to see what they are saying after the 5pm update to decide if we are staying or not:

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-united-states-hurricane-warning-puerto-rico-leeward-islands-0

If you wait until they tell you you should leave, isn't that already too late?

http://scontent.fbna1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/21317440_10155617258244318_5353530211111769015_n.jpg?oh=704149690fdc4d49d91faad8c556d026&oe=5A591495

If you wait until they tell you you should leave, isn't that already too late?

yeah probably, but this is the first time in the forecast that they have predicted winds less than 100 mph here. Yesterday I was expecting around 120. Trying to watch the local meterologists, especially tonight to see what they are saying. Storm may not get here until Tuesday now, so still time to decide. No evacuations have been ordered for South Carolina, unless some happened this morning (Charleston more likely than us to be ordered to evac) Certainly preparing to evacuate just in case.

http://scontent.fbna1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/21317440_10155617258244318_5353530211111769015_n.jpg?oh=704149690fdc4d49d91faad8c556d026&oe=5A591495

We are all dead now! (and Syfy has new ideas for their latest Sharknado movie now)

5 pm advisory:

Looking pretty bleak for Florida. :( But none of the current tracks have it going directly over Myrtle Beach, and winds may be as low as 45mph here:

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-bahamas-florida-georgia-carolinas-forecast

My sister said she is riding it out. Has to work Monday.

We're in Winter Springs, FL. The latest NHC path has the eye basically a mile to the west of our house. So yeah, if this path holds, we're in the eye approx. 12 hours after initial landfall. Trying to get estimates of winds - thinking 110-125 mph.

We have a hotel room booked for Macon, GA, but I think I want to ride it out. We're not in a flood plain, and the roof was repaired (with straps put on to hold the roof on) when Charley hit in 2004 (we were not here for that). It's going to SUCK, and the peak will be around 2am our time (just like Matthew). I'm sure we're going to hear some pretty awful sounds overnight and probably break some windows.

I want to stay, but I don't want to scare my kids.

I think you should go. Playing around with that shit is no joke, man.

Seriously, get the hell out of there.

I'm in Ft Lauderdale right now, and it's quiet. Traffic is moving easily and the stores are still getting hit with people trying to stock up. It's not as insane as I imagined, but I'm about 3 miles from the beach. I'm sure everything is getting boarded up there. We'll be out by 630a tomorrow.

Thirded. Leave, however you have to explain it. There are times to ride it out. This ain't one of em.

We're in Winter Springs, FL. The latest NHC path has the eye basically a mile to the west of our house. So yeah, if this path holds, we're in the eye approx. 12 hours after initial landfall. Trying to get estimates of winds - thinking 110-125 mph.

We have a hotel room booked for Macon, GA, but I think I want to ride it out. We're not in a flood plain, and the roof was repaired (with straps put on to hold the roof on) when Charley hit in 2004 (we were not here for that). It's going to SUCK, and the peak will be around 2am our time (just like Matthew). I'm sure we're going to hear some pretty awful sounds overnight and probably break some windows.

I want to stay, but I don't want to scare my kids.

I would lean towards leaving though I am not sure I would go all the way to GA. Of course, the chances of getting a hotel room in state at this point is nil. My reasoning has more to do with what and who will be around after the storm than your safety during the storm. The loss of power and the restriction of movement due to down trees and other obstructions is an unknown that most of us tend to underestimate. I tend to have a pessimistic view of when the power will be restored and when my neighborhood will be cleared after a storm.

For what it's worth, I get wanting to stay and if it were just you, I would probably suggest staying to be honest. The stress of the terrified kids is not worth it IMO. Good luck either way!

I'm in Ft Lauderdale right now, and it's quiet. Traffic is moving easily and the stores are still getting hit with people trying to stock up. It's not as insane as I imagined, but I'm about 3 miles from the beach. I'm sure everything is getting boarded up there. We'll be out by 630a tomorrow.

What the hell was up with that Delta plane that flew through the outskirts of Irma to land in PR? Is that as crazy as it seems from the outside?

It's not as crazy as it sounds. I've never flown into a full blown hurricane, but flown into a couple tropical storms. It's admirable that they were able to get in and out, but I don't know just how strong the winds were. Pilots dodge thunderstorms all the freaking time. It's not like wind is that big of a deal once you get going, just for takeoff and landing. I'm sitting here laughing at everyone freaking out about it. Especially when he flew out and chose to dodge the weather instead of just flying around it. My guess is that he had a pretty good visual on where he was going and what he needed to do. The best part are the people who were able to get out and to safety because of that flight.

My sister said she is riding it out. Has to work Monday.

not sure where your sister is, but did you remind her that there may not be a work to go to on Monday? Or a home to get to work from?

We're in Winter Springs, FL. The latest NHC path has the eye basically a mile to the west of our house. So yeah, if this path holds, we're in the eye approx. 12 hours after initial landfall. Trying to get estimates of winds - thinking 110-125 mph.

We have a hotel room booked for Macon, GA, but I think I want to ride it out. We're not in a flood plain, and the roof was repaired (with straps put on to hold the roof on) when Charley hit in 2004 (we were not here for that). It's going to SUCK, and the peak will be around 2am our time (just like Matthew). I'm sure we're going to hear some pretty awful sounds overnight and probably break some windows.

I want to stay, but I don't want to scare my kids.

It sounds pretty exciting to ride it out, but especially if you've been ordered to evacuate, do it. The sounds, especially when you can't see anything out the windows, can be pretty frightening. And when you lose power (and you will) it will REALLY suck with kids around. My neighbors had a tree fall out their house, and into their kitchen, while they were sitting at the kitchen table (no one hurt). You will appreciate that you have air conditioning in Macon. If the forecast hadn't been downgraded so much here, I would have left for this one.

Edit: Don't put blind faith in the forecast either-the path is going to change before it gets to you, and the paths now may be very different in the morning.

From the looks of the last path I saw (the more westerly one), I'm not sure Macon would be all that safe nor far enough. Seemed ripe to be dropping tornadoes all over the place, which is how that tends to go when 'canes track over inland Georgia.

Get out of its path - look at this thing!

http://scontent.fbna1-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/21369484_885219238299852_8795820414018359942_n.jpg?oh=9c10b1f7cd70100489e6ca3bf1ca55a6&oe=5A1BFBE7

Glad we're no longer in Florida. The wife's family is all there. Brother is FHP and his wife works for the parks service, so they are both on call and can't leave. And they live in Port St. Lucie, right in the path.

But let's be clear. This is going to be a catastrophe and it is hard to imagine / describe the amounts of devastation that faces Miami and probably Daytona Beach and significant damage in places such as Orlando and maybe Savannah GA ..if the forecast track holds

Eep! Well, that covers both my wife's hometown and her parents' current one (or close enough).

We're in Winter Springs, FL. The latest NHC path has the eye basically a mile to the west of our house. So yeah, if this path holds, we're in the eye approx. 12 hours after initial landfall. Trying to get estimates of winds - thinking 110-125 mph.

We have a hotel room booked for Macon, GA, but I think I want to ride it out. We're not in a flood plain, and the roof was repaired (with straps put on to hold the roof on) when Charley hit in 2004 (we were not here for that). It's going to SUCK, and the peak will be around 2am our time (just like Matthew). I'm sure we're going to hear some pretty awful sounds overnight and probably break some windows.

I want to stay, but I don't want to scare my kids.

Yeah get the hell out of there and especially if you got kids. It is not worth it.

Stay safe, folks.

We know a thing or two about being in the path of major typhoons.

Also, if you are in any place that has a storm surge warning, just get the hell out. 7-15 feet of tsunami-like seawater is pretty deadly.

not sure where your sister is, but did you remind her that there may not be a work to go to on Monday? Or a home to get to work from?

She is in Sunrise, which is West of Ft. Lauderdale. She is real close to where the panthers play Hockey.

She lives in a ranch with no water near and not many trees that are big.


She works at a hospital. I imagine that will be open.

I don't think the local weather guy could have looked any more sullen this morning that the hurricane was tracking more westward. He was practically jerking it on the air yesterday when Greenville was solidly in the cone.

Why oh why does there always have to be one idiot every fucking hurricane season?

Hurricane Irma: Top Florida legislator says state's reaction is 'overdone' | Miami Herald (http://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather/hurricane/article171972037.html)

After some thought, Latvala told supporters in a Facebook post that the event was still on. He went further in a Herald/Times interview, suggesting that officials were overreacting by ordering mass evacuations of coastal areas — including in Pinellas County.

“I have lived in Florida for 50 years. We have hurricane season every year. We try to use good judgment,” Latvala said. “I’m not sure that we haven’t overdone it a little bit ... Do you have to close down the state four days before the storm gets here?”

He said he has heard from constituents asking him, “Why are we doing this so early?”

Latvala said he spoke with Pinellas Sheriff Bob Gualtieri, and did not take issue with law enforcement officials who do not want to be second-guessed for not telling people to flee low-lying coastal areas well in advance of Irma’s arrival.

He stopped short of criticizing Gov. Rick Scott. ”The governor is doing his job as he sees the need to do it,” Latvala said. “I think he‘s being a little ...” he paused and said: “cautious.”

Read more here: Hurricane Irma: Top Florida legislator says state's reaction is 'overdone' | Miami Herald (http://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather/hurricane/article171972037.html#storylink=cpy)

I don't care about the fundraiser. If you want to have it, then have it. It was a lovely day in Clearwater I am sure. The problem is many of these areas that have ordered evacuations had flooding LAST FUCKING MONTH due to regular August thunderstorms and severe flooding due to tropical storms a year ago.

Severe flooding causes evacuations in Clearwater community - abcactionnews.com WFTS-TV (http://www.abcactionnews.com/news/region-pinellas/severe-flooding-causes-evacuations-in-clearwater-community)

Irma predicted to track further and further west. Predicting now about 40 miles to the west of where I live. We're going to stick it out. No mandatory evacuations as we don't live on the coast. Seems the majority of our neighbors are staying as well.

Latest update:

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-bahamas-florida-georgia-carolinas-forecast

Definitely glad I'm not heading to Tampa. The trends have been westward. One of my friends in Tampa is flying back to Texas later this afternoon. My sister has to stay to work at her hotel in Wesley Chapel north of Tampa, so she's brought my nieces and nephew to work with her and they are gonna bunker down there.

My in-laws and brother-in-law live in Miami. They're in evacuation zone D, so no mandatory evacuation (yet). That said, I'm disappointed they didn't take off early in the week for my MIL's brother's house in Philly. Now my kids will spend all weekend worrying about their Na-na and Pop-pop.

I think the fact they are veterans makes them feel safe.
My sister has lived in south Florida since the late 80s. So they have been through a few bad ones.
They probably feel like this is old hat.
Not that its any easier on their families.

Yeah, they got through Andrew and their house has been improved in the aftermath. They clearly didn't want to leave, so they have been using a lot of excuses to justify it:

- Horrible traffic leaving the state (true during the day, but I've checked the traffic monitoring sites and it's been mostly wide open at night, so this excuse doesn't hold up)
- Not sure if they'd be able to gas up along the way (a reasonable concern, but probably over-hyped by local news - I doubt they would have been completely unable to gas up on the way out the last few days)
- Want to be around to discourage looters in the aftermath (who the fuck cares? that's what insurance is for, and better to lose some possessions than be dead or seriously injured)
- Would be too worried about what happened to the house if they weren't there (I get that fear, but the aftermath of this storm may be worse than the storm itself as power could be out for several days, food and supplies could be impossible to get for a week or more, getting to a hospital could be difficult and/or the hospitals could be overwhelmed & understaffed)

In the end they'll likely survive, and perhaps the house won't be severely damaged, and they'll manage to get through the aftermath OK. But I just don't understand taking that risk when A) there was plenty of warning about the size and path of this storm and B) they had a great option for somewhere to go.

Going to ride it out. The tracks have it heading west to Naples which I guess is better than a direct strike on Miami but it means we get the nasty side of the storm. Definitely never doing this again as I told my fiancee that we're jumping in a plane or car to calm weather.

Hey all you Floridians (and elsewhere) make sure you check in here after the storm to let us know you are ok, ok? :)

Going to ride it out. The tracks have it heading west to Naples which I guess is better than a direct strike on Miami but it means we get the nasty side of the storm. Definitely never doing this again as I told my fiancee that we're jumping in a place or car to calm weather.
Good luck Noop. Hope you're in a sturdy place or have access to a shelter if need be.

Going to ride it out. The tracks have it heading west to Naples which I guess is better than a direct strike on Miami but it means we get the nasty side of the storm. Definitely never doing this again as I told my fiancee that we're jumping in a place or car to calm weather.

Good luck, man. Check in after to let us know you're ok.

I couldn't fathom living in an area prone to hurricanes or tornados or earthquakes. Here our biggest worry is that it might get so cold that eyeballs might freeze, but you just put on a toque and a scarf and you're fine. You're house will still be there, trees will still be there. Stay safe out there.

If you can believe it, my flight actually left FLL this morning with a couple of empty seats. That kind of blows me away.

I couldn't fathom living in an area prone to hurricanes or tornados or earthquakes. Here our biggest worry is that it might get so cold that eyeballs might freeze, but you just put on a toque and a scarf and you're fine. You're house will still be there, trees will still be there. Stay safe out there.

Didn't the Saddledome flood just a few years ago?

Didn't the Saddledome flood just a few years ago?

It did, it was the biggest floods we've ever had here. I would still imagine that the percent of houses/businesses affected was less than what will be affected by a typical hurricane.

I couldn't fathom living in an area prone to hurricanes or tornados or earthquakes. Here our biggest worry is that it might get so cold that eyeballs might freeze, but you just put on a toque and a scarf and you're fine. You're house will still be there, trees will still be there. Stay safe out there.

Eyeball freeze is definitely high on my fear list, tho

Stay safe folks.

Irma's Cat 4, possibly going back up to Cat 5 when it passes through the Florida Strait.

The storm surge is potentially going to be devastating. Possibly tsunami-level damage.

Thomkal you leaving yet?

Looks like the West coast. My Dad in central Florida may get it worse than my Sister in south Florida.

My friend got in from Tampa late last night. She had a bunch of friends that were just gonna stay and ride it out. Each update looks worse and worse for the Tampa Bay area.

Thomkal you leaving yet?

Nope, path keeps moving further and further west of us here in SC, so looks like we are not going to get much from it. (knocks on wood)

Why oh why does there always have to be one idiot every fucking hurricane season?

Hurricane Irma: Top Florida legislator says state's reaction is 'overdone' | Miami Herald (http://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather/hurricane/article171972037.html)



Unfortunately there's more than one idiot there. Wish he had just stayed and made all of us "climate changers" look like fools:

Limbaugh to evacuate after calling Irma climate change ploy (http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/limbaugh-to-evacuate-after-calling-irma-climate-change-ploy/ar-AArvMe0?OCID=ansmsnnews11)

Latest update on the weather channel:

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-irma-bahamas-florida-georgia-carolinas-forecast

Nope, path keeps moving further and further west of us here in SC, so looks like we are not going to get much from it. (knocks on wood)

Maybe you could move INTO its path. Go on! Be daring!

Be like Bill Paxton!

Y'all play too much Noles fans!:lol:

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Shots Fired! <a href="https://t.co/Wh7l3nFX7L">pic.twitter.com/Wh7l3nFX7L</a></p>&mdash; J. Williams (@DontHateBeHated) <a href="https://twitter.com/DontHateBeHated/status/906491935711526912">September 9, 2017</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Maybe you could move INTO its path. Go on! Be daring!

Be like Bill Paxton!

Ah No :)

The storm surge warnings bring back memories of typhoon Haiyan when hit us four years ago. 15 foot surges went inland as far as 2km in and wiped out the city of Tacloban.

Here's something that should give you an idea of the size and scope of Irma. My home town is well inland, over 4 hours from the ocean. Here's their forecast.

https://www.dropbox.com/s/3s18o5oumfc3wj4/Screenshot%202017-09-10%2008.34.36.png?dl=1

We are as prepared as we can be. Similar to my previous experiences, it has been pretty cool watching everyone helping each other out getting things taken care of and showing appreciation for the help they were getting. Just have to get the sinks and tubs filled with water and then wait.

Filled with water? What does that for? Water for bathing and washing?

Filled with water? What does that for? Water for bathing and washing?

Baths? We don't need no stinkin(pun intended) baths during a hurricane. Seriously, you could use it for a couple of reasons. You could lined your bathtub with plastic(preferred) or sanitize it with bleach(less preferred) to use for drinking. We have bottled all of our drinking/cooking water. We will be using it mostly for flushing the toilets and things of that nature.

We bought a $20 100-gallon disposable bladder that sits in your bathtub. Rather than buying 50 pallets of spring water, we just use that. We will use swimming pool water for toilets, if need be.

{scratching my head}

On the one hand, the latest NOAA stuff has me sitting in the 3-5 inches of rain zone & on the outermost edge of the 50 mph wind zone.

Local sheriff's office, on the other hand, just issued a statement telling residents to be prepared for several days without electricity.

Something isn't adding up here at all tbh.

Something isn't adding up here at all tbh.

Everything's a con.

Everything's a con.

They're definitely seeing info that isn't matching what I'm seeing ... and we're ostensibly seeing the same stuff.

Keep in mind here that there wasnt' any water on the shelves here last night.
We're not going to flood to the extent that water service is threatened, we're hundreds of miles inland, and we don't have that many people using wells.

A lot of folks just seem to love a good panic.

Gusts will be higher and the winds will last for hours.

edit: And crews will be scarce because power outages will be so extensive over FL and GA.

Gusts will be higher and the winds will last for hours.


But it still has nothing to do with the water buying. That's just gotten comical.

For some reason this hurricane season here has turned into the winter-storm-hysteria of massive milk buying ... even by the lactose intolerant.

The risk of tornadoes, yeah, that's a real & legitimate concern to me.
Any loss of power (or at least internet) is certainly always an issue to me.

But barring some bizarre chain of events, we ain't gonna be out of water.

edit to add: amusing sidebar from the local Walmart last night. They were all out of water in any configuration you can think of, except one: the Sam's Choice gallon jugs. Apparently there's only so far down the brand chain that the locals are willing to go for water :D

I was just responding to the first post about the sheriff's warning.

Panic buying is just people trying to take control over something they can't control. Even here in the NE, a couple of inches of snow coming will clean off the shelves.

dola

Why in the hell weren't cranes lowered in FL? They've had at least a week to prepare for this.

dola

Why in the hell weren't cranes lowered in FL? They've had at least a week to prepare for this.

I was just wondering that same thing.

edit to add: apparently it takes two weeks to take down one of these monster cranes

They actually had a story about them on TV this week. They are designed to spin like weather vanes and withstand like 125 mph winds. They can't be locked down or they will break things, and it takes like 7-10 days to disassemble and remove them.

They actually had a story about them on TV this week. They are designed to spin like weather vanes and withstand like 125 mph winds. They can't be locked down or they will break things, and it takes like 7-10 days to disassemble and remove them.

The increasing worry for Miami atm is that the winds hadn't hit the advertised speed yet.

I smell ... litigation.

The increasing worry for Miami atm is that the winds hadn't hit the advertised speed yet.

I smell ... litigation.

TBH, litigation was probably coming either way.

Crane damage= litigation
Economic loss due to shutting down operations to disassemble the crane on to be safe not sorry = litigation

Crane damage= litigation
Economic loss due to shutting down operations to disassemble the crane on to be safe not sorry = litigation

I read a little about the situation with them, apparently they took down as many as possible - but the large cranes take two weeks to dismantle and they only have so many teams available to do so, hence not all of them could be done before the storm hit (if you think about it, that is probably a hugely specialized profession and once assembled they stay up for months so they probably only have a few people available to do it).

PS - Some flooding here, but apart from that all is well here on the east coast.

Here's something that should give you an idea of the size and scope of Irma. My home town is well inland, over 4 hours from the ocean. Here's their forecast.

The scope of this storm is like nothing even locals here have seen, I'm on the far east coast of Florida and the storm is on the west coast.

We've got flooding here (not huge but worse than last years hurricane) and we've had a good half dozen or so tornado warnings for my area today alone ... and the darn storm hasn't even really gotten close our level of the state yet, its meant to be hitting 'peak' late tonight/early morning I believe ...

{scratching my head}

On the one hand, the latest NOAA stuff has me sitting in the 3-5 inches of rain zone & on the outermost edge of the 50 mph wind zone.

Local sheriff's office, on the other hand, just issued a statement telling residents to be prepared for several days without electricity.

Something isn't adding up here at all tbh.

I think they wouldn't be doing their due diligence if they didn't tell people to be prepared for that many days without electricity. When Superstorm Sandy came through New Jersey, there were people who got power back quickly and there were people who had to wait 3 to 4 days and in some cases even longer, and that's in a relatively small area.

edit to add: amusing sidebar from the local Walmart last night. They were all out of water in any configuration you can think of, except one: the Sam's Choice gallon jugs. Apparently there's only so far down the brand chain that the locals are willing to go for water :D

Hehe a friend of mine in Houston said a similar thing before Harvey hit. Said he went to Target and found all food products gone except for unsalted, organic kidney beans. His presumption of their thought process re: the beans: "No thanks, we'll just die." :D

Hehe a friend of mine in Houston said a similar thing before Harvey hit. Said he went to Target and found all food products gone except for unsalted, organic kidney beans. His presumption of their thought process re: the beans: "No thanks, we'll just die." :D

yeah i've been seeing pictures like that on facebook. Everything gone except for the organic tofu section. Or every biit of soda gone except X. It's losing its humor the more i see it but it works :)

I just heard it used regarding sam's club water too :)

Just got off the phone with my Dad. He is in Ocala. They are getting waves of heavy rain. Expecting 80-110 mph winds depending on the tv station. The big thing he is worried about is the tornado warnings.
He still has electricity.

I think they wouldn't be doing their due diligence if they didn't tell people to be prepared for that many days without electricity.

Except they aren't really the point of contact for this info. (this is the department well known for their very entertaining social media presence).

I've seen a lot of hurricanes pass through GA, never even a tenth of the hysterical stuff I've seen about this one.

It better be one hell of a impact or else there's going to be some serious mocking of a lot of places in a few days. And that's problematic, because this has been so incredibly over the top that it's going to be a memorable cry-wolf incident which diminishes the chances of future events being taken seriously.

It better be one hell of a impact or else there's going to be some serious mocking of a lot of places in a few days. And that's problematic, because this has been so incredibly over the top that it's going to be a memorable cry-wolf incident which diminishes the chances of future events being taken seriously.

Well its covering the entire sodding state and nearly half the homes within it are now without power so I'd say that's fairly sodding intense myself - then again the eye passes me in the next couple of hours and my house has already flooded and lost shingles from its roof (as well as having one of the doors warped by the wind) ... so perhaps I'm a little biased?

PS - And I'm one of the luckier ones, I'm in Melbourne away from the eye and only catching the outer rim, wind speeds are gusting around 105-110mph around here, I'm hoping that I get lucky and it doesn't take down any of the larger trees near my house but we've located to the safest room in case as one of the ones at the front of the house is already listing because its under a foot of water at its base.

Well its covering the entire sodding state and nearly half the homes within it are now without power so I'd say that's fairly sodding intense myself - then again the eye passes me in the next couple of hours and my house has already flooded and lost shingles from its roof (as well as having one of the doors warped by the wind) ... so perhaps I'm a little biased?

PS - And I'm one of the luckier ones, I'm in Melbourne away from the eye and only catching the outer rim

Sorry you're getting pounded ... but this isn't FL I'm talking about.
I can be in NC in just under three hours however. THAT is how far from FL I'm talking about.

Sorry you're getting pounded ... but this isn't FL I'm talking about.
I can be in NC in just under three hours however. THAT is how far from FL I'm talking about.

Fair enough - that being said its meant to be cat 1 even when it exits Florida from the projections I've seen and this thing is spitting out tornados at a ludicrous rate (I've lost count of the number of warnings locally here and have had one pass my house close enough to hear which scared the shit out of me) ... if its still doing that when it reaches elsewhere its still going to be a damn dangerous situation because of the size of the storm itself.

Fair enough - that being said its meant to be cat 1 even when it exits Florida from the projections I've seen and this thing is spitting out tornados at a ludicrous rate (I've lost count of the number of warnings locally here and have had one pass my house close enough to hear which scared the shit out of me) ... if its still doing that when it reaches elsewhere its still going to be a damn dangerous situation because of the size of the storm itself.

The tornado threat, ironically, hasn't even gotten the usual amount of play here.
Hell, actual tornadoes on the ground in waves don't get the play this has gotten as a local threat.

It's downright bizarre, fully into Snowpocalypse mode.

But for the benefit of anyone else reading, my bewilderment has absolutely nothing to do with coverage of Irma as a national thing, nor with its impact on any of the affected areas. It's about the considerable fear mongering going on in areas that aren't even in the tropical storm watch area at this point.

Checking in. Just waiting for the sun to come up to assess the outdoors.

Good luck. Waiting to hear from my sister.

Dad says the worst has passed him by.

Irma related weather has started here-nothing bad. I have a brother living near Orlando-he called yesterday afternoon-when Irma really hadn't reached him yet-they already had a lot of rain from it though. Still had power then, which I suspect changed overnight.

Drizzly rain only so far north of Atlanta, no big wind or heavy downpours. Pics show alot of red coming to us but ajc.com says its down to Cat 1.

Some rain near Emory, but our neighborhood loses power with a breeze so I assume we will be in the dark soon. All schools closed Monday and Tuesday, and they actually made the decision yesterday around lunch, so maybe they are getting somewhat smarter...

My wife's parents are without power in Jacksonville and her sister lost power earlier yesterday in Port St. Lucie. Her brother is FHP down in that area so he's been working the storm (although I believe once winds got to tropical storm strength, they were required to take shelter).

A friend lost power in Tampa.

I don't think I could live in FL again without a home generator or some sort of emergency power setup.

They closed all the schools around us because.... I'm not sure.

For our work, they closed our Charleston office but left the other offices open, even though the other offices are closer to the hurricane?

Already seeing reports of people being stuck in their homes in the Lakeland area. Ugh.

They closed all the schools around us because.... I'm not sure.

Apparently rainfall causes that these days.

Apparently rainfall causes that these days.

My wife is a school teacher. She said you don't really want kids waiting out in possible bad rain/wind and school buses don't drive well in strong wind. I'm okay with it due to the unpredictable nature of Irma's path (e.g. yesterday I though it was headed much more west of Atlanta area).

My wife is a school teacher. She said you don't really want kids waiting out in possible bad rain/wind and school buses don't drive well in strong wind. I'm okay with it due to the unpredictable nature of Irma's path (e.g. yesterday I though it was headed much more west of Atlanta area).

Note where EM is though.

There's a better chance of my kid in MS having weather issues related to Irma this week than there is in his area.

Ah sorry. I was relating to schools closing in Atlanta area today (and prob good chance for Tue also)

I blame our local news guy, who gets like borderline depression if the weather doesn't rain down frogs or snow 38" during the winter.

Just took the dogs for a walk to the neighborhood. I think we made it through pretty nicely. The neighbor across the street had a tornado tear a path through his backyard taking several trees down but no damage to his house. We seemed to have several houses with screen damage. Four street signs are down including one that is about 10 feet from it was standing yesterday. The lake in the cul-de-sac behind is higher that I have seen in the three years we have lived here but other than that, things are well.

Trees normally blow left to right in my backyard. They are blowing more right to left now. Kinda weird.

Flooding in Jacksonville, Savannah, Charleston, and probably Myrtle Beach too. :(

Flooding in Jacksonville, Savannah, Charleston, and probably Myrtle Beach too. :(

Hang in there Thomkal!

fwiw, intermittment internet connection since about 7am.
4 relatively brief power outtages during the afternoon.
As Edward64 mentioned, I'm also basically seeing trees that rarely move blowing, trees that commonly move in storms doing little.

Random tree down reports across Clarke/Oconee County, linemen have been pulled off the job in the past 20 minutes pending a decrease in the winds, so any outtages coming up will be extended somewhat.

That's basically northeast Georgia for the day.

Sister has her power back on.
They lost branches and leaves.
BIL had it cleaned up by 7 am.

just got internet and cell service back. Never lost power. It broke a couple of straps on the hot tub cover. Couple of trees down in neighbor's yards but we escaped unscathed.

No wind or rain in the last 30 minutes but the power just went out here in Roswell.

Meanwhile Hurricane Jose is going in circles. Let's hope it stays in the Atlantic.

http://img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net/tenant/amp/entityid/AArHZAP.img?h=598&w=728&m=6&q=60&o=f&l=f&x=576&y=382

Last thing anybody needs is a run-in from No Way Jose

No freaking way. Jose needs to go anywhere but south or west. Srsly. We've had enough for the next decade.

With Irma diminishing to a tropical storm, a hurricane-battered nation could soon shift its attention to Hurricane Jose, now meandering around the western Atlantic Ocean roughly 300 miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands.

"Meandering" has got to be the word of the hurricane season. I heard Dylan Dreyer use it on probably four separate broadcasts to describe Harvey, along with at least one other weather person.

/is cool with Dylan using whatever terms she wants

/is cool with Dylan using whatever terms she wants

Yet again, the FOFC forces me to Google

I might suggest to add "ass" as part of the search terms.

Glad to hear folks on this board escaped relatively unscathed. Stay safe from downed trees, lines etc.

/is cool with Dylan using whatever terms she wants
Not to "meander" off topic here, but is Dylan that hot? Maybe the pictures I see on Google aren't doing her justice.

Or, maybe, like you said, I just forgot to put "ass" in the search terms. :lol:

She's not necessarily that hot. She just happens to work for me.

And I think she has a mighty nice rump.


edit: I think for me there is something about her that comes across better live.

All good here-had wind/rain all day/night here but just "little stuff" down and not that much standing water it looks like. Never lost power/internet, but many places in SC, GA, especially along the coast can't say that. Worst damage here was storm surge flooding, and a tree nearly took out the local library. Irma has broken up, but the remains are still being felt in NC, Tenn, KY, and Miss today.

On the Dylan Dreyer front, it's the backside that wins the day. She seems like a slightly cuter Katie Couric until the badonk appears, and then she's suddenly much hotter for those who like that kind of shape.

I figured it was the haircut, I never even got around to checking the back.

All good here-had wind/rain all day/night here but just "little stuff" down and not that much standing water it looks like. Never lost power/internet, but many places in SC, GA, especially along the coast can't say that. Worst damage here was storm surge flooding, and a tree nearly took out the local library. Irma has broken up, but the remains are still being felt in NC, Tenn, KY, and Miss today.

One correction-I was doing a "patrol" of the house today after my walk, and noticed some damage. Our house is kind of L-shaped with the garage on one end of the house, and the rest of the house basically the other part of it. Until you get outside you cannot see past the garage on the right corner of the yard.

We've let the right-side of the yard basically "go wild", few trees, bushes, flowers etc. The right front corner along the road is very overgrown...though not so much now. A tree has come down in the middle of it, and somehow stayed in the underbrush rather than falling on the garage, street, or neighbor's property. It even avoided falling across the drainage ditch running along the street. Only problem may be that its fallen across/amongst the utilities stored there, so we have to clean it up anyway. :(

Well, not all together too bad. Lost power for 26 hours or so (3pm Monday to 5pm Tuesday). Aside from that, nothing crazy.

She's no Katie Tur!

Dekalb County closing schools again tomorrow because a few schools still without power. Most other counties open for business except the worst run one in GA. No wonder everyone incorporates.

Lost power briefly and still without internet. Also, a tree branch fell and busted my roommate's back windshield.

My work was very reluctant to close on Monday and we didn't get the word until the last minute.

Dekalb County closing schools again tomorrow because a few schools still without power. Most other counties open for business except the worst run one in GA. No wonder everyone incorporates.

You do realize that Decatur City Schools are likely to close on Thursday as well - the superintendent told parents to prepare for it, but they would wait until this evening to see if they could somehow open? Not to mention other countries have canceled school tomorrow. And 35 schools without power is about 25% of the total of Dekalb County School. Having functionally two separate calendars for the school that have power and those that don't is far more of a pain than just adding another day at the end of the year for all schools in the County.

edit: and on Facebook I just had someone who lives in the North Druid Hills area just say that they finally got power back as of an hour ago.

edit: and on Facebook I just had someone who lives in the North Druid Hills area just say that they finally got power back as of an hour ago.

My friends in Tucker just got their power back a few hours ago.

You do realize that Decatur City Schools are likely to close on Thursday as well - the superintendent told parents to prepare for it, but they would wait until this evening to see if they could somehow open? Not to mention other countries have canceled school tomorrow. And 35 schools without power is about 25% of the total of Dekalb County School. Having functionally two separate calendars for the school that have power and those that don't is far more of a pain than just adding another day at the end of the year for all schools in the County.

edit: and on Facebook I just had someone who lives in the North Druid Hills area just say that they finally got power back as of an hour ago.

Our districts schools had their power back on Tuesday, and our neighborhood has been clear since then as well. Fulton county is opening the schools that are ready and keeping closed the ones that are not.

Oh, and Decatur is open tomorrow as well and will just deal with the 2 closed schools. So of all the metro area, Dekalb County is the only one still pooping on itself (as usual). Can't wait to incorporate (though it won't fix the schools since that is still county).

My friends in Tucker just got their power back a few hours ago.

Dat power run so good.

Jose is looking more and more likely to just swing out into the Atlantic

http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/interactive/weather/hurricane.tracker/watching/Track.jpg

Red Cross doing its typical bang up job

Red Cross failed to 'show up' to manage hurricane shelters in Miami-Dade County | Miami Herald (http://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather/hurricane/article172607326.html)

Eventually companies get too big. Then they stop doing anything useful.

Red Cross doing its typical bang up job

While I ain't really a fan, if you read the article (and assume all parties are telling the truth) then they met what they agreed to do in pre-planning (minus one delayed opening by a few hours) and then exceeded it by a rather large percentage.

Red Cross can't really be held responsible for every shelter someone just decides to throw open.

There was a Texas councilman who was not too happy with them either:

Houston councilman tells residents not to donate to Red Cross - Houston Chronicle (http://www.chron.com/news/houston-weather/hurricaneharvey/article/City-Councilman-blasts-Red-Cross-response-12179919.php)

Our districts schools had their power back on Tuesday, and our neighborhood has been clear since then as well. Fulton county is opening the schools that are ready and keeping closed the ones that are not.

Oh, and Decatur is open tomorrow as well and will just deal with the 2 closed schools. So of all the metro area, Dekalb County is the only one still pooping on itself (as usual). Can't wait to incorporate (though it won't fix the schools since that is still county).

And you know how Decatur City Schools are 'dealing' with the 2 closed schools, right? They are busing all those kids to other schools - City Schools of Decatur will reopen Thursday, will bus students from schools without power | Decaturish - Locally sourced news (http://www.decaturish.com/2017/09/city-schools-of-decatur-will-reopen-thursday-will-bus-students-from-schools-without-power/). Fulton County has power restored to ALL schools. Do you think that would work well in a county where schools without power make up 25% of the total schools in the district? Busing kids of 35 schools to other schools would be ridiculous.

I also just saw on FB that I have still have friends without power today. Apparently over 50,000 homes are still without power in Dekalb this morning and 100 trees are down across roads.

FWIW, the north west side of the metro got hit pretty hard. Gwinnett may be in school, but Hall, Lumpkin, and Banks are all closed today.

I mean at this point you are just coming across as strangely mad for no real reason.

Brother planning a trip in a month going to Marco island and staying in a condo. Got ahold of owner. No structural damage. Just trees and pool cages got tore up. The hurricane regs for buildings worked.

We just got our power on last night. Screw you, Irma.

Bet you wish you were in Delaware now.

Haha!

It looks like Jose is going to do another circle and may still end up hitting the northeast in a few days. Who knows what will be left of it at that point, but the guy is certainly persistent.

Because we need another Hurricane

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT15/refresh/AL152017_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/025614_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

And now a hurricane is going to hit... Ireland.

Really.

ICYMI

Puerto Rico

http://www.cnn.com/2017/10/13/us/puerto-rico-superfund-water/index.html

Personal update on the aftermath of Irma update - finally found a rental place to take us and our pets so will be moving in Monday/Tuesday this week ... looking forward to not camping on our patio in the near future ;)

(house is increasingly a wreck at this point, mold in walls where the water intruded, ceilings have already been taken down and we've got the AirConditioning ducts being replaced at the end of the month ...)

hard to believe a hurricane might make it to Ireland/England.

And Marc, somehow I missed you had been affected by Irma-sorry this happened, glad you found somewhere to live, and I hope you are able to rebuild quickly!

hard to believe a hurricane might make it to Ireland/England.b
Looks like it'll be tropical storm strength when it hits at its worse from what I can tell ... it's circa 80mph or as the BBC weather page puts it - "A spell of very windy weather is expected on Monday" :D

And Marc, somehow I missed you had been affected by Irma-sorry this happened, glad you found somewhere to live, and I hope you are able to rebuild quickly!
It's not ideal and unfortunately the contractors are estimating it'll be around six months to rebuild as everything needs to be stripped down and then built back up again because there is mold in most of the internal walls .. (as well as the mold our roof needs replacing and also all the air-conditioning ducts because they also issue and mold in them).

On the other hand, everyone is still alive and healthy and that's the main thing :D

(my blood pressure will go down once our beloved insurance company actually indicates they're willing to pay for at least some of the repairs - at present they're being less than useless ... they've 'lost' the first assessors report as far as I can tell)

b
Looks like it'll be tropical storm strength when it hits at its worse from what I can tell ... it's circa 80mph or as the BBC weather page puts it - "A spell of very windy weather is expected on Monday" :D


It's not ideal and unfortunately the contractors are estimating it'll be around six months to rebuild as everything needs to be stripped down and then built back up again because there is mold in most of the internal walls .. (as well as the mold our roof needs replacing and also all the air-conditioning ducts because they also issue and mold in them).

On the other hand, everyone is still alive and healthy and that's the main thing :D

(my blood pressure will go down once our beloved insurance company actually indicates they're willing to pay for at least some of the repairs - at present they're being less than useless ... they've 'lost' the first assessors report as far as I can tell)

That's awful Marc, sorry to hear that you're having to go through all that. I really hope your insurance company will be good to work with. That will make all the difference in the world.